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Posted by | November 12, 2020 | Uncategorized | No Comments

0000007202 00000 n What you need to know about investor sentiment. As I was doing my weekly S&P500 #ChartStorm on Twitter a rather interesting chart caught my attention. Chicago Mercantile Association: Certain market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. endobj This spread is lower than what has been typical during the last two years and indicates that investors are pursuing higher risk strategies. The latest news analysis, case studies and informed comment on the challenges facing UK workplace pension schemes, from Pensions Expert, a Financial Times service. Market indices are shown in real time, except for the DJIA, which is delayed by two minutes. Stocks have outperformed bonds by 1.59 percentage points during the last 20 trading days. 0000001918 00000 n %PDF-1.7 %���� <>/Filter/FlateDecode/Index[242 10348]/Length 175/Size 10590/Type/XRef/W[1 1 1]>>stream %%EOF 0000002074 00000 n 0000005284 00000 n This is further above the average than has been typical during the last two years and rapid increases like this often indicate extreme greed. During the last month, approximately 5.76% more of each day's volume has traded in advancing issues than in declining issues. The chart, from TN on Twitter, shows the individual and institutional investor 1-year confidence indexes. These are shown as dots on the second chart below. The chart attracted a lot of controversy and comment on Twitter. During the last five trading days, volume in put options has lagged volume in call options by 62.65% as investors make bullish bets in their portfolios. Receive indicator alerts; All times are ET. It was one of the series from the Yale School of Management International Center for Finance Stock Market Confidence Indices. Last changed Nov 11 from an Extreme Greed rating. Most stock quote data provided by BATS. 0000000750 00000 n The remarkable thing about this chart is that the institutional line has reached 100% (every single respondent expects positive 1-year returns), and 98.92% of individuals surveyed. endobj Dow Jones: The Dow Jones branded indices are proprietary to and are calculated, distributed and marketed by DJI Opco, a subsidiary of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and have been licensed for use to S&P Opco, LLC and CNN. The S&P 500 is 7.38% above its 125-day average. h�b```b``����� (� �� l�, L@¼�wdV�'�wp��0+�{�W�3S>�%��|�2���-�� ����x��Y~�Ba��W1��\�y�s����j��b̒���8�8\�Y�N��&NE�N�� P�]2n^޿�)U�e��A��z ����x��'�G��v~�50��c�"k��g����u#42���4L�#����'��B-N[wײ�n���=R�EW{�*�B�6��ᔃ A Warner Media Company. 0000007894 00000 n 0000003394 00000 n �3$0�qC"��yI@�!j��P�A�!�qІz�i�ڟ1h3�3��-���+ˀ|i$��㺝�;� Hg00��r�-_?����X��+mQ��G���T�R.���|��@��T �}T� 10611 0 obj These indexes track the proportion of responses that … All rights reserved. Comparing change in price with change in number of addresses to determine if Bitcoin is over/undervalued in the short term. 0000000016 00000 n 0000008367 00000 n If prices in a particular market are expected to keep rising, investors are said to be 'bullish'. trailer Standard & Poor's and S&P are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC and Dow Jones is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC. Investors in low quality junk bonds are accepting 2.15 percentage points in additional yield over safer investment grade corporate bonds. Fear & Greed 1 Year Ago: 87 (Extreme Greed). Even just looking at the more mainstream investor surveys the latest AAII survey had 32.1% bears and the Investors' Intelligence survey 16.2% bearish. All rights reserved. CNN Sans™ & © 2016 Cable News Network. To be fair it is an extreme reading. It can be used to monitor output growth and to anticipate turning points in economic activity. And a surprising one at that given there still seems to be a number of bears out there. All Rights Reserved. positive). The McClellan Volume Summation Index measures advancing and declining volume on the NYSE. Even just looking at the more mainstream investor surveys the latest AAII survey had 32.1% bears and the Investors' Intelligence survey 16.2% bearish. This indicates that market breadth is improving, though the McClellan Oscillator is in the middle of its range for the last two years and is neutral. In other words, the proportion of people who expect stock prices to be higher a year from now. Disclaimer. I decided to run my own survey on Twitter and found very different results. 0000002623 00000 n 0000002567 00000 n While forward stock market return expectations are looking somewhat euphoric, confidence in valuations has fallen close to levels last seen during the dot-com mania.

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